SAG Awards 2025 nominations: Best prediction scores by our experts, editors, and users
Congratulations to our user, mmelsoo, for a terrific score of 80.00 percent in predicting the 2025 SAG Awards movie nominees on Wednesday morning. Our top scorer is tied with 13 other people but has the better point score of 26,275 by using the two Super Bets (500 points each) wisely.
3,895 people worldwide predicted the Screen Actors Guild film nominations, with our top scorer getting 20 of 25 nominee slots correct. Among the long shots picked accurately were Pamela Anderson (The Last Showgirl) and Monica Barbaro (A Complete Unknown).
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You can see how your score compares to all others in our movie leaderboard rankings, including links to see each participant’s predictions. To see your scores, go to the User menu in the top right corner of every Gold Derby page when you’re signed in to the site. Use the drop-down menu to “View Profile,” then look for the links to your “Award Show Scores.”
For our 11 Gold Derby editors predicting, Charles Bright and Joyce Eng are best with 72.00 percent correct. I am then tied at 68.00 percent with Denton Davidson and Christopher Rosen. Following at 64.00 percent are Debra Birnbaum, Marcus James Dixon, Rob Licuria, Daniel Montgomery, and Ray Richmond. Matt Noble finishes with 60.00 percent correct. See editors’ scores.
Other than Birnbaum, Eng, Richmond, and Rosen, we had 21 other experts predicting. Matt Neglia (Next Best Picture), Joey Nolfi (Entertainment Weekly), and Anne Thompson (Indiewire) are best with 76.00 percent. We then have a tie at 72.00 percent for Erik Davis (Fandango), Susan King (Gold Derby), Scott Mantz (KTLA), and Wilson Morales (BlackFilmandTV). Up next at 68.00 percent are Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Cole Jaeger (The Oscar Expert), Mark Johnson (The Contending), Perri Nemiroff (Collider), and Peter Travers (ABC). Following at 64.00 percent are Clayton Davis (Variety), Scott Feinberg (The Hollywood Reporter), and Brian Truitt (USA Today). At 60.00 percent each are John Horn (NPR), Keith Simanton (IMDb), and Jazz Tangcay (Variety). We then have Tariq Khan (Gold Derby) and Jenelle Riley (Variety) at 56.00 percent, followed by Shawn Edwards (WDAF) at 40.00 percent. See experts’ scores.
For our TV predictions contest, 2,128 people worldwide made their picks. We are in a four-way tie at 78.05 percent, with rkenny4 out front (32 of 40 nominee slots correct) with the best point total of 22,970. You can see how your score compares to all others in our television leaderboard rankings of all contestants.
Among our 11 Gold Derby editors predicting TV winners, the best are Debra Birnbaum and Joyce Eng at 70.73 percent. Next are Denton Davidson and Daniel Montgomery at 68.29 percent. Tied at 65.85 percent are Charles Bright, Marcus James Dixon, Christopher Rosen, and myself. Matt Noble finishes at 60.98 percent, Ray Richmond at 58.54 percent, and Rob Licuria at 56.10 percent. See editors’ scores.
In addition to our Gold Derby editors (Birnbaum, Eng, Richmond, and Rosen), we had 15 other experts making picks. The best at 75.61 percent is Susan King (Gold Derby). Next at 70.73 percent is Scott Feinberg (The Hollywood Reporter). We then have a five-way tie at 68.29 percent for Tariq Khan (Gold Derby), Scott Mantz (KTLA), Wilson Morales (BlackFilmandTV), Dave Nemetz (TV Line), and Ben Travers (Indiewire). Tied at 63.41 percent are Thelma Adams (Gold Derby), Lynette Rice (Deadline), and Matt Roush (TV Guide). Next, at 60.98 percent, are Kristen Baldwin (Entertainment Weekly) and Eric Deggans (NPR). Rounding out our list are Keith Simanton (IMDb) at 58.54 percent, Jazz Tangcay (Variety) at 53.66%, and Shawn Edwards (WDAF) at 26.83%. See experts’ scores.
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