Karla Sofía Gascón is still a ‘strong contender’ to win the Best Actress Oscar, says AI bot
Gold Derby has been asking AI bots to predict the Oscars all throughout this season, and some of their choices have been, shall we say, curious. First, Gemini was convinced that Joker: Folie à Deux and its stars, Joaquin Phoenix and Lady Gaga, would all be nominees. (Well, they were nominated … at the Razzies.) Now, Meta’s AI has declared that controversy-prone Best Actress contender Karla Sofía Gascón is a “strong contender” to win the Oscar next month.
Gascón’s offensive social media posts about such topics as Muslims, George Floyd, and diversity at the Oscars were unearthed two weeks ago, causing the Emilia Pérez awards campaign to be derailed. As a result, she won’t be attending many of this season’s awards events, and she has issued a vow of “silence” to let her musical movie speak for itself.
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She made history as the first openly transgender person ever nominated in Best Actress, and now Meta thinks she could go all the way. “Cynthia Erivo for Wicked or Karla Sofía Gascón for Emilia Pérez are strong contenders,” the artificial intelligence entity declares.
Gold Derby’s Best Actress odds suggest otherwise, as Erivo and Gascón currently place fourth and fifth, respectively. Demi Moore for The Substance actually leads our rankings after she claimed victory at the Golden Globes and Critics Choice Awards and wowed the industry with her heartfelt speeches. Fernanda Torres for I’m Still Here is the runner-up, while Mikey Madison for Anora rounds out the top three.
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Over in the lead actor race, “The competition is fierce,” remarks Meta, which is a notion that many awards pundits might agree with. The AI then adds, “Adrien Brody for The Brutalist or Timothée Chalamet for A Complete Unknown could win.”
Gold Derby’s Best Actor odds match that sentiment exactly. Brody is currently in the No. 1 position to score the Oscar goal, particularly after his precursor triumphs at the Globes and Critics Choice, while Chalamet is right behind him. Ralph Fiennes for Conclave, Colman Domingo for Sing Sing, and Sebastian Stan for The Apprentice place third, fourth, and fifth, respectively.
So, what about the all-important Best Picture race? “The Brutalist is currently leading the pack, with A Complete Unknown as a close contender,” claims Meta. Let’s break that down.
Up until recently, Gold Derby was also predicting that The Brutalist would win the Best Picture Oscar, beginning soon after it took home three Golden Globes (picture, actor, and director). But our top prediction officially changed on Sunday to Anora, after that film had a landslide weekend by claiming major trophies at the Critics Choice Awards, Directors Guild Awards, and Producers Guild Awards. Hmm … perhaps Meta’s batteries need to be replaced for it to properly reflect the current state of the race? As for A Complete Unknown, that film is currently in fourth place in Gold Derby’s odds, following the one-two-three punch of Anora, The Brutalist, and Conclave.
The final Oscar category we asked Meta to predict was Best Director. “Sean Baker for Anora or Brady Corbet for The Brutalist might take home the award,” says the AI bot. Those are also Gold Derby’s top two choices, in that order, as of Feb. 10. The other three director nominees are Coralie Fargeat for The Substance in third, Jacques Audiard for Emilia Pérez in fourth, and James Mangold for A Complete Unknown in fifth.
We’ll continue to check in with artificial intelligence up until the 97th Academy Awards take place on March 2.
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