Gold Derby Oscar predictions 2025: ‘September 5’ cracks into Best Picture lineup [Updated Dec. 10]
If the 2025 Oscars nominations were announced today, what would Gold Derby predict as the nominees and winners? Since our predictions center opened on July 1, 2024, more than 6,700 people have made their forecasts in 18 top categories. So who’s out front to claim these golden trophies, according to the Gold Derby Oscar predictions 2025?
Below, see a snapshot in time of our racetrack odds for the 97th Academy Awards, updated on Dec. 10, 2024 — one day after the Golden Globe nominations. See how the odds and rankings have changed over time by examining our previous Oscar snapshots on July 3, July 9, July 16, July 23, July 29, Aug. 6, Aug. 19, Aug. 28, Sept. 11, Sept. 19, Sept. 23, Sept. 30, Oct. 7, Oct. 14, Oct. 22, Oct. 28, Nov. 4, Nov. 11, Nov. 18,, Nov. 25, and Dec. 2.
More from GoldDerby
Now expected to receive a nomination since the last update: “September 5” in Best Picture (thanks undoubtedly to its fresh Globe bid for Best Film Drama), plus “Hard Truths” in Best Original Screenplay, “Nosferatu” in Best Costume Design, and “Conclave” in Best Production Design.
SEE Make your Oscar predictions right now — it’s fun and easy!
Gold Derby’s Academy Awards odds are based on the combined forecasts of experts we’ve polled from major media outlets, editors who cover awards year-round for this website, top 24 users who had the best accuracy scores last year, and the mass of Users who make up our biggest predictions bloc. We will continue to update the Oscar predictions center whenever new information is provided to us by the studios/campaigners. Track the awards races by exploring all of our charts and graphs.
BEST PICTURE
Predicted Nominees
1. “Anora” — 15/2
2. “The Brutalist” — 8/1
3. “Conclave” — 8/1
4. “Emilia Pérez” — 17/2
5. “Wicked” — 9/1
6. “Dune: Part Two” — 10/1
7. “Sing Sing” — 11/1
8. “A Real Pain” — 16/1
9. “Nickel Boys” — 18/1
10. “September 5” — 30/1
Predicted Spoilers
“A Complete Unknown,” “The Substance,” “Gladiator II,” “Blitz,” “Challengers,” “The Seed of the Sacred Fig”
See more Best Picture contenders …
BEST DIRECTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Brady Corbet (“The Brutalist”) — 19/5
2. Sean Baker (“Anora”) — 4/1
3. Edward Berger (“Conclave”) — 11/2
4. Jacques Audiard (“Emilia Pérez”) — 15/2
5. Denis Villeneuve (“Dune: Part Two”) — 13/1
Predicted Spoilers
RaMell Ross (“Nickel Boys”), Coralie Fargeat (“The Substance”), Jon M. Chu (“Wicked”), Mohammad Rasoulof (“The Seed of the Sacred Fig”), Ridley Scott (“Gladiator II”), Payal Kapadia (“All We Imagine as Light”)
See more Best Director contenders …
BEST ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Mikey Madison (“Anora”) — 37/10
2. Angelina Jolie (“Maria”) — 5/1
3. Karla Sofía Gascón (“Emilia Pérez”) — 5/1
4. Nicole Kidman (“Babygirl”) — 7/1
5. Cynthia Erivo (“Wicked”) — 17/2
Predicted Spoilers
Marianne Jean-Baptiste (“Hard Truths”), Demi Moore (“The Substance”), Saoirse Ronan (“The Outrun”), Fernanda Torres (“I’m Still Here”), June Squibb (“Thelma”), Amy Adams (“Nightbitch”)
See more Best Actress contenders …
BEST ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Adrien Brody (“The Brutalist”) — 37/10
2. Ralph Fiennes (“Conclave”) — 19/5
3. Colman Domingo (“Sing Sing”) — 4/1
4. Timothée Chalamet (“A Complete Unknown”) — 9/2
5. Daniel Craig (“Queer”) — 10/1
Predicted Spoilers
Jesse Eisenberg (“A Real Pain”), Sebastian Stan (“The Apprentice”), Sebastian Stan (“A Different Man”), John David Washington (“The Piano Lesson”), Andrew Garfield (“We Live in Time”), Hugh Grant (“Heretic”)
See more Best Actor contenders …
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Zoe Salda?a (“Emilia Pérez”) — 71/20
2. Ariana Grande (“Wicked”) — 4/1
3. Felicity Jones (“The Brutalist”) — 11/2
4. Danielle Deadwyler (“The Piano Lesson”) — 13/2
5. Isabella Rossellini (“Conclave”) — 15/2
Predicted Spoilers
Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (“Nickel Boys”), Selena Gomez (“Emilia Pérez”), Saoirse Ronan (“Blitz”), Margaret Qualley (“The Substance”), Monica Barbaro (“A Complete Unknown”), Leonie Benesch (“September 5”)
See more Best Supporting Actress contenders …
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Kieran Culkin (“A Real Pain”) — 7/2
2. Guy Pearce (“The Brutalist”) — 4/1
3. Denzel Washington (“Gladiator II”) — 5/1
4. Clarence Maclin (“Sing Sing”) — 11/2
5. Yura Borisov (“Anora”) — 7/1
Predicted Spoilers
Stanley Tucci (“Conclave”), Edward Norton (“A Complete Unknown”), Jeremy Strong (“The Apprentice”), Peter Sarsgaard (“September 5”), Samuel L. Jackson (“The Piano Lesson”), Wagner Moura (“Civil War”)
See more Best Supporting Actor contenders …
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Predicted Nominees
1. “Conclave” — 17/5
2. “Sing Sing” — 4/1
3. “Nickel Boys” — 5/1
4. “Emilia Pérez” — 7/1
5. “Dune: Part Two” — 10/1
Predicted Spoilers
“The Room Next Door,” “The Piano Lesson,” “I’m Still Here,” “Wicked,” “The Wild Robot,” “A Complete Unknown”
See more Best Adapted Screenplay contenders …
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Predicted Nominees
1. “Anora” — 17/5
2. “The Brutalist” — 4/1
3. “A Real Pain” — 9/2
4. “The Substance” — 7/1
5. “Hard Truths” — 19/2
Predicted Spoilers
“September 5,” “The Seed of the Sacred Fig,” “Challengers,” “Saturday Night,” “His Three Daughters,” “Blitz”
See more Best Original Screenplay contenders …
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Predicted Nominees
1. “The Brutalist” — 69/20
2. “Dune: Part Two” — 4/1
3. “Nickel Boys” — 6/1
4. “Maria” — 8/1
5. “Emilia Pérez” — 17/2
Predicted Spoilers
“Conclave,” “Nosferatu,” “Wicked,” “Gladiator II,” “Challengers,” “A Complete Unknown”
See more Best Cinematography contenders …
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Predicted Nominees
1. “Wicked” — 82/25
2. “Dune: Part Two” — 9/2
3. “Gladiator II” — 9/2
4. “Maria” — 6/1
5. “Nosferatu” — 14/1
Predicted Spoilers
“The Brutalist,” “Blitz,” “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice,” “Conclave,” “The Substance,” “Challengers”
See more Best Costume Design contenders …
BEST FILM EDITING
Predicted Nominees
1. “The Brutalist” — 4/1
2. “Dune: Part Two” — 4/1
3. “Anora” — 9/2
4. “Conclave” — 5/1
5. “Emilia Pérez” — 17/2
Predicted Spoilers
“Wicked,” “September 5,” “Challengers,” “The Substance,” “Gladiator II,” “Sing Sing”
See more Best Film Editing contenders …
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Predicted Nominees
1. “The Substance” — 37/10
2. “Wicked” — 4/1
3. “Dune: Part Two” — 5/1
4. “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” — 11/2
5. “Nosferatu” — 8/1
Predicted Spoilers
“A Different Man,” “Emilia Pérez,” “Gladiator II,” “Deadpool and Wolverine,” “The Apprentice,” “Saturday Night”
See more Best Makeup & Hairstyling contenders …
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Predicted Nominees
1. “Wicked” — 18/5
2. “Dune: Part Two” — 19/5
3. “The Brutalist” — 5/1
4. “Gladiator II” — 5/1
5. “Conclave” — 23/2
Predicted Spoilers
“Blitz,” “Nosferatu,” “Emilia Pérez,” “Megalopolis,” “Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga,” “Joker: Folie à Deux”
See more Best Production Design contenders …
BEST SCORE
Predicted Nominees
1. “Conclave” — 19/5
2. “The Brutalist” — 19/5
3. “The Wild Robot” — 5/1
4. “Emilia Pérez” — 13/2
5. “Challengers” — 7/1
Predicted Spoilers
“The Room Next Door,” “Wicked,” “Saturday Night,” “Blitz,” “Gladiator II,” “Nosferatu”
See more Best Score contenders …
BEST SONG
Predicted Nominees
1. “The Wild Robot” (“Kiss the Sky”) — 4/1
2. “Emilia Pérez” (“El Mal”) — 9/2
3. “The Six Triple Eight” (“The Journey”) — 6/1
4. “Emilia Pérez” (“Mi Camino”) — 13/2
5. “Sing Sing” (“Like a Bird”) — 17/2
Predicted Spoilers
“Will and Harper” (“Harper and Will Go West”), “Moana 2” (“Beyond”), “Mufasa: The Lion King” (“I Always Wanted a Brother”), “Piece by Piece” (“Piece by Piece”), “The Last Showgirl” (“Beautiful That Way”), “Better Man” (“Forbidden Road”)
See more Best Song contenders …
BEST SOUND
Predicted Nominees
1. “Dune: Part Two” — 17/5
2. “Wicked” — 9/2
3. “Gladiator II” — 5/1
4. “Emilia Pérez” — 15/2
5. “Blitz” — 23/2
Predicted Spoilers
“A Complete Unknown,” “Twisters,” “Conclave,” “The Brutalist,” “The Substance,” “Nosferatu”
See more Best Sound contenders …
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Predicted Nominees
1. “Dune: Part Two” — 10/3
2. “Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes” — 9/2
3. “Gladiator II” — 11/2
4. “Wicked” — 6/1
5. “Twisters” — 8/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Mufasa: The Lion King,” “Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga,” “Better Man,” “Alien: Romulus,” “Here,” “Deadpool and Wolverine”
See more Best Visual Effects contenders …
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Predicted Nominees
1. “The Wild Robot” — 16/5
2. “Inside Out 2” — 4/1
3. “Memoir of a Snail” — 5/1
4. “Flow” — 5/1
5. “Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl” — 11/2
Predicted Spoilers
“Moana 2,” “Piece by Piece,” “Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim,” “The Day the Earth Blew Up: A Looney Tunes Movie,” “Transformers One,” “Despicable Me 4”
See more Best Animated Feature contenders …
SIGN UP for Gold Derby’s free newsletter with latest predictions
Best of GoldDerby
Sign up for Gold Derby's Newsletter. For the latest news, follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram.
Solve the daily Crossword
